Predictions as Extreme as Your Impressions
Fleetingnous sommes de mauvais estimateurs
Example of Julia that is bilingue at 4. What is her SAT result? People tend to overestimate it, because they are impressed by the fact when she was 4.
Also, someone that as a pretty good resume and gave a bad talk. You likely won’t hire per. On the contrary, someone with a poor resume and a good talk will be hired.
The talk should influence your decision, but the past experience should weight a lot more.