Illusion of Validityfleeting
- External reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusion_of_validity
Illusion of validity - Wikipedia
Described in Thinking, Fast and Slow.
Illusion of validity is a cognitive bias in which a person overestimates their ability to interpret and predict accurately the outcome when analyzing a set of data, in particular when the data analyzed show a very consistent pattern—that is, when the data “tell” a coherent story