Konubinix' opinionated web of thoughts

Énoncés Extraordinaires Nécessitent Des Preuves Plus Qu'ordinaires


  • Référence externe :

des énoncés extraordinaires nécessitent des preuves plus qu’ordinaires

It’s as if for a statement you started with a balance of 50% true 50% false (bayesian thinking). Each clue you have makes the balance go in one direction or the other. Then, when someone claims you should change your mind with a new clue, put this on the balance and see whether it changes the point of tilting it.

résultat d’expérience remet en question la théorie OU l’expérience

When there are so many clues in favour of an option, you need at least as many clue of at least the same weight to expect someone to change per mind.

Notes pointant ici